The Kentucky Derby Post Positions could not have worked out better for the stalking Top Contenders. With, I Want Revenge out at #13 and Dunkirk at #15 & Pioneer of the Nile at #16, the "Press Favorites", along with Friesan Fire in Post Position 6, got just what they wanted, which is no one trapped on the far inside and better still, all the expected speed horses on the middle to inside.
My view of the post position draws suggest a more orderly race.......well, as much as it can be with 20 horses going. There will likely be a couple or 3 rabbit attempts, but it's less of a concern for the 7 or 8 which can win this race, as it appears the speed will be isolated on the crowded inside. Baring anything really stupid, we shouldn't see the meltdown of "05, where the speed came from all quarters, setting off near panic and lesser horses picked up the pieces in the end. It also cost Afleet Alex the Triple Crown, but that's just my opinion.
Best part is we can handicap the big race under a scenario where the Trifecta and Superfecta winners get paid off handsomely from good handicapping assumptions and being "right", rather than the luck factor. All that said, we have very big odds long shots with an entirely reasonable chance of cracking into the Win, Place, or Show positions. In fact, we have three Long Shots who figure right on the wire with the mentioned faves. This is going to be one great Kentucky Derby! More on the Derby tomorrow.
No racing at Hollywood Park on Thursday, due to the horse shortage. They will be back Friday at Hollywood with a 1:00pm PDT first post with a good card and a $64,925 Pick Six Carryover.
Wednesday Re Cap: Our 20:1 long shot got to the wire first in the seventh giving our Best Betters a nice trifecta win. It was the one which also assured a P6 carryover for Friday.
On to Thursday: Our Best Bets will all be at Belmont Park, where the best racing is happening on Thursday. We've got a long shot P3 in races 4-5-6 and enough separation to play some low cost power trifectas over the nine-race card.
Good Luck at Belmont Park on Thursday and anytime you're At The Track!
